Monagas 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.18/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.10
+13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.7 Crosses 16.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.10.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.02.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
09.07.2022 Monagas Monagas 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.05.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-5 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
06.12.2021 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
0-0
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.64 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
248 Passes 340
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas and Deportivo La Guaira played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Monagas had 45% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 55%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.64 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monagas and 1.50 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Monagas 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monagas 42%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monagas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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