Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rapperswil-Jona v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Rapperswil-Jona
İSV1Y
0-3
HT 0-2
Etoile Carouge
İSV1Y
3-0
HT 2-0
Rapperswil-Jona
İSV1Y
0-0
HT 0-0
Rapperswil-Jona
İSV1Y
Rapperswil-Jona edged past Etoile Carouge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Etoile Carouge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Rapperswil-Jona and 1.75 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile Carouge?
Rapperswil-Jona 1-0 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rapperswil-Jona 35%, draw 24%, Etoile Carouge 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.