Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.69/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.91
+20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
17.1 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
414 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-3 HT 1-2 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
16.03.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 2-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
17.01.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais HAZ
06.12.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-1 HT 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
23.09.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
17.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.58 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 403
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax and Stade Nyonnais shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Neuchatel Xamax at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 46% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 54%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.58 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.17 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 49%, draw 25%, Stade Nyonnais 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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