Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.32 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
346 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-1 HT 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
23.09.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
17.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
16.02.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
20.10.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 1-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
28.07.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
1-2
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais nicked a narrow win over Neuchatel Xamax 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Neuchatel Xamax at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 57% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.00 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais?

Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Stade Nyonnais in the Friendlies on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 55%, draw 25%, Stade Nyonnais 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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