Rijeka 2-0 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2025

Rijeka
2-0 HT 1-0
Sturm Graz
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Rijeka vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.8pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rijeka v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 52%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/2.62
-23% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -52%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rijeka vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-1 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HAZ

Rijeka 2-0 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-0
AWAY Sturm Graz
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of Sturm Graz 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rijeka had 39% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 61%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Sturm Graz?

Rijeka 2-0 Sturm Graz in the Friendlies on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 33%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 45%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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