Polonia Bytom 1-2 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
35%
3.8
Away
36%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.3pp
35%
Draw
23%
+11.7pp
36%
Away Win
53%
-17.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
17.01.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 1-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
1-2
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow squeezed past Polonia Bytom 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 35% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ruch Chorzow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 45% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 55%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?

Polonia Bytom 1-2 Ruch Chorzow in the Friendlies on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 29%, draw 35%, Ruch Chorzow 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruch Chorzow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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