17/01/2025
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
MOL Fehervar vs NK Brinje Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
27%
Draw
21%
28%
Away Win
18%
47%
Under 2.5
40%
53%
Over 2.5
60%
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
48%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MOL Fehervar v NK Brinje — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
MOL Fehervar
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
NK Brinje
EU Bookmakers 21%
-42% /
-42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+74% /
+74%
1.10/1.79
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/1.00
-44%
/
-42%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+73%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
433 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
MOL Fehervar vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
NK Brinje squeezed past MOL Fehervar 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs NK Brinje?
MOL Fehervar 1-2 NK Brinje in the Friendlies on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs NK Brinje?
Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 45%, draw 27%, NK Brinje 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
17 Jan 2025