Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
20%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.73 — our 25% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / +0%
1.44/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.50
-43% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.5 Crosses 20.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Nyonnais
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.80 xG 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 2-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
17.01.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-2 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais HAZ
06.12.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-1 HT 2-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
23.09.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-2 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
17.05.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 4-0 HT 1-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
16.02.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 0-2 HT 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Nyonnais
1-3
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax saw off Stade Nyonnais 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Nyonnais at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Stade Nyonnais had 37% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 63%, shots finished 7-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Nyonnais and 2.50 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Nyonnais win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stade Nyonnais 42%, draw 24%, Neuchatel Xamax 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Nyonnais), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Nyonnais) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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