Bellinzona vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Thun — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
Bellinzona 3-1 Thun — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona got the better of Thun 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Thun at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Bellinzona had 45% of the ball to Thun's 55%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.61 to 2.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bellinzona and 1.17 for Thun.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Thun?
Bellinzona 3-1 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Thun?
Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 31%, draw 27%, Thun 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.