Bellinzona 0-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.68
No
60%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 33% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.0pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.94/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.68
-34% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.2 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.57 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 Passes 300
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Thun Thun 1-2 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
13.04.2024 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
27.01.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
13.12.2023 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 1-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
25.08.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
23.05.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-0 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-0
AWAY Thun
0.83 xG 0.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
251 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona and Thun played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Bellinzona had 47% of the ball to Thun's 53%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.83 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 1.33 for Thun.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Thun?

Bellinzona 0-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 29%, draw 25%, Thun 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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