Thun vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
0-3
HT 0-1
Thun
İSV2
Thun 2-0 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Thun beat Bellinzona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Thun had 37% of the ball to Bellinzona's 63%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thun and 0.50 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Thun vs Bellinzona?
Thun 2-0 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Thun 45%, draw 28%, Bellinzona 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.