Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.70
+31% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-2 HT 3-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
12.11.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 4-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
28.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt nicked a narrow win over Luckenwalde 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.80 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Luckenwalde?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 52%, draw 22%, Luckenwalde 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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