Luckenwalde 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Nov 2024

Luckenwalde
1-2 HT 1-0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luckenwalde v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -14%
1.37/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.91
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-2 HT 3-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
12.11.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 4-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
28.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt edged past Luckenwalde 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.75 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Luckenwalde 1-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 32%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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