Hamburg II 5-3 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.30/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.03
+17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Bremer SV
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 Bremer SV Bremer SV 3-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
18.02.2024 Bremer SV Bremer SV 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
26.08.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 3-1 HT 1-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II got the better of Bremer SV 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamburg II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamburg II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Hamburg II and 1.20 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs Bremer SV?

Hamburg II 5-3 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 54%, draw 23%, Bremer SV 23%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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