Bremer SV 3-0 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
2.48/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.22
+54% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bremer SV
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamburg II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
18.02.2024 Bremer SV Bremer SV 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
26.08.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 3-1 HT 1-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-1 HT 1-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
31.08.2022 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-1 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bremer SV
3-0
AWAY Hamburg II
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bremer SV vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bremer SV cruised past Hamburg II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bremer SV as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bremer SV had 53% of the ball to Hamburg II's 47%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Bremer SV and 1.50 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Bremer SV vs Hamburg II?

Bremer SV 3-0 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bremer SV vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bremer SV win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bremer SV 44%, draw 26%, Hamburg II 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bremer SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bremer SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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