Havelse 4-3 Werder Bremen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.53/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/2.13
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-1 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
18.09.2022 Havelse Havelse 1-3 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
20.09.2019 Havelse Havelse 2-3 HT 2-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
4-3
AWAY Werder Bremen II
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Werder Bremen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse edged past Werder Bremen II 4-3. It was 1-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Havelse found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Havelse had 54% of the ball to Werder Bremen II's 46%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Havelse and 2.00 for Werder Bremen II.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Werder Bremen II?

Havelse 4-3 Werder Bremen II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Werder Bremen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Havelse 40%, draw 30%, Werder Bremen II 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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