VFC Plauen 2-3 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VFC Plauen EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 46%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.34
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VFC Plauen
2-3
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH VFC Plauen vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin nicked a narrow win over VFC Plauen 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Viktoria Berlin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, VFC Plauen had 43% of the ball to Viktoria Berlin's 57%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of VFC Plauen vs Viktoria Berlin?

VFC Plauen 2-3 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VFC Plauen vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split VFC Plauen 36%, draw 26%, Viktoria Berlin 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
28 Jul 2024
14:00 Greifswalder SV vs Hertha Berlin II Analysis →
14:00 Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig Analysis →
14:30 Teutonia Hamburg vs BW Lohne Analysis →
15:00 Havelse vs Werder Bremen II Analysis →
15:00 Mainz 05 II vs Hessen Kassel Analysis →
15:30 Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Oldenburg Analysis →