Eintracht Norderstedt 2-0 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.24/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.39
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Norderstedt
1W-0D-3L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 5-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
10.09.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 5-0 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 3-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
04.05.2014 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 1-4 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Norderstedt saw off VfB Oldenburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Eintracht Norderstedt and 3.00 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Oldenburg?

Eintracht Norderstedt 2-0 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Norderstedt vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Norderstedt 33%, draw 23%, VfB Oldenburg 44%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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