Teutonia Hamburg 1-1 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.92/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+32% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
3W-1D-0L
AWAY BW Lohne
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 BW Lohne BW Lohne 3-3 HT 1-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
22.10.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 5-2 HT 2-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
05.03.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 0-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-1 HT 2-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
1-1
AWAY BW Lohne
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teutonia Hamburg and BW Lohne shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teutonia Hamburg had 56% of the ball to BW Lohne's 44%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Teutonia Hamburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 1.75 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs BW Lohne?

Teutonia Hamburg 1-1 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teutonia Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 40%, draw 20%, BW Lohne 40%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Over 2.5
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