BW Lohne 3-3 Teutonia Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.3pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -6%
1.52/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.11
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BW Lohne
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 5-2 HT 2-1 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
05.03.2023 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 0-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-1 HT 2-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BW Lohne
3-3
AWAY Teutonia Hamburg
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BW Lohne vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BW Lohne and Teutonia Hamburg couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, BW Lohne had 47% of the ball to Teutonia Hamburg's 53%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Teutonia Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BW Lohne and 3.67 for Teutonia Hamburg.

What was the final score of BW Lohne vs Teutonia Hamburg?

BW Lohne 3-3 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BW Lohne vs Teutonia Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a BW Lohne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BW Lohne 39%, draw 24%, Teutonia Hamburg 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (BW Lohne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BW Lohne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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