BFC Dynamo 2-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.81/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.44
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1 HT 2-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Dynamo
2-2
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo and Rot-Weiss Erfurt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Dynamo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, BFC Dynamo had 50% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Erfurt's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for BFC Dynamo and 2.50 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

BFC Dynamo 2-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 46%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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