Buchbach 3-2 Memmingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Memmingen EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.50/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.98
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Memmingen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
03.10.2023 Memmingen Memmingen 3-2 HT 0-2 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
08.04.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Memmingen Memmingen ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Memmingen Memmingen 0-1 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
18.10.2019 Memmingen Memmingen 1-1 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
21.04.2015 Memmingen Memmingen 1-2 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
11.04.2014 Memmingen Memmingen 1-2 HT 0-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Memmingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach edged past Memmingen 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Buchbach made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buchbach had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buchbach and 1.17 for Memmingen.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Memmingen?

Buchbach 3-2 Memmingen in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Memmingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 36%, draw 29%, Memmingen 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buchbach), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buchbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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