Luckenwalde 1-2 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.67/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.20
+14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
03.11.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.02.2019 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 2-2 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin HAZ
17.10.2015 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 2-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luckenwalde
1-2
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Berlin squeezed past Luckenwalde 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Viktoria Berlin found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Luckenwalde had 55% of the ball to Viktoria Berlin's 45%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.80 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Viktoria Berlin?

Luckenwalde 1-2 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 36%, draw 25%, Viktoria Berlin 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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