Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.63/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.42
+1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 4
03.10.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 1-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
19.11.2021 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
30.07.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-3 HT 0-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
31.10.2014 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen and Bayreuth shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wacker Burghausen and 1.40 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Bayreuth?

Wacker Burghausen 1-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 33%, draw 32%, Bayreuth 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayreuth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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