Altglienicke 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.75
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
28.07.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 1-2 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
30.03.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-3 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Altglienicke Altglienicke 0-3 HT 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
0-1
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig nicked a narrow win over Altglienicke 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Altglienicke had 64% of the ball to Lokomotive Leipzig's 36%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Altglienicke and 1.67 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Altglienicke 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 44%, draw 27%, Lokomotive Leipzig 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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