Greifswalder SV 0-1 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
2.56/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.65
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
24.09.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 5-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
25.02.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-1 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
0-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II squeezed past Greifswalder SV 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Greifswalder SV carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 49% of the ball to Hertha Berlin II's 51%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.25 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Hertha Berlin II?

Greifswalder SV 0-1 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 59%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin II 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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