Holstein Kiel II 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
53%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
32%
-8.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
52%
Away Win
41%
+11.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.9pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.81/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.03
+32% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-3 HT 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
10.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 3-3 HT 2-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel nicked a narrow win over Holstein Kiel II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Drochtersen / Assel as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 1.67 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Holstein Kiel II 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 24%, draw 23%, Drochtersen / Assel 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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