Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 Holstein Kiel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
2.00/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.64
-7% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drochtersen / Assel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-3 HT 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
10.09.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
30.04.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 2-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
23.10.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 3-3 HT 2-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
21.11.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 0-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
05.09.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 0-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Drochtersen / Assel vs Holstein Kiel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel and Holstein Kiel II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Drochtersen / Assel at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Drochtersen / Assel and 1.83 for Holstein Kiel II.

What was the final score of Drochtersen / Assel vs Holstein Kiel II?

Drochtersen / Assel 1-1 Holstein Kiel II in the Germany - Regional League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drochtersen / Assel vs Holstein Kiel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Drochtersen / Assel 53%, draw 21%, Holstein Kiel II 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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