JaPS 2-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.12/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.99
+7% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
0W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Lahti
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2025 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-0 HT 1-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
15.02.2025 JaPS JaPS 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FINYK
28.06.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
2-1
AWAY FC Lahti
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JaPS vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS nicked a narrow win over FC Lahti 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FC Lahti carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JaPS had 45% of the ball to FC Lahti's 55%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Lahti led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for JaPS and 1.67 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of JaPS vs FC Lahti?

JaPS 2-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Ykkönen on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split JaPS 24%, draw 21%, FC Lahti 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Lahti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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