Salford City 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2025

📅25/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 24% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
45%
-12.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stockport County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
252 Passes 284
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
28.11.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
10.10.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-3 HT 1-1 Stockport County Stockport County İNTK
20.05.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
13.05.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
31.03.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City and Stockport County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salford City had 58% of the ball to Stockport County's 42%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salford City and 1.33 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Stockport County?

Salford City 1-1 Stockport County in the Friendlies on 25/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salford City 32%, draw 28%, Stockport County 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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