Changchun YaTai 2-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
0.74/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.09
-16% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.6 Crosses 17.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nanjing City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.55 xG 0.72
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
343 Passes 156
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 6
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 1-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN2
22.06.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 3-4 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
2-1
AWAY Nanjing City
1.29 xG 1.20
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
223 Passes 313
17 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai squeezed past Nanjing City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.29 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Changchun YaTai and 2.50 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Nanjing City?

Changchun YaTai 2-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 48%, draw 23%, Nanjing City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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