Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.05
X/2
13%
6.41
X/X
17%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
8%
4.56
2/X
10%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.69/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.95
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.1
22.3 Crosses 5.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.80 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
349 Passes 420
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 6
11.04.2026 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
1-0
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.84 xG 1.12
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 Passes 524
19 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns squeezed past Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wuhan Three Towns as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.84 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 41%, draw 33%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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