Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Ayr United
4-1 HT 3-0
Alloa Athletic
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2026/2027
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.21
Draw
20%
4.09
Away
13%
5.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.02
Over 2.5
50%
1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.52
No
52%
1.71
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 29% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+1.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
3.85/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.44
+91% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / +37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 6-0 HT 3-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKLK
27.03.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.01.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 4-1 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
05.12.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
29.02.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.12.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 2-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
FAQ Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ayr United ran out comfortable winners over Alloa Athletic 4-1 in the Scotland - League Cup on 25 Jul 2026. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United have the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Ayr United and 0.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic?

Ayr United 4-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - League Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 67%, draw 20%, Alloa Athletic 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ BTTS No
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