Hamilton 5-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
8%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
6.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.79 — our 24% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
72%
+3.7pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.2pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 14%
-21% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.08/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/3.81
-63% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Elgin City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
28.04.2001 Hamilton Hamilton 3-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
10.04.2001 Elgin City Elgin City 0-3 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
21.10.2000 Hamilton Hamilton 4-1 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
12.08.2000 Elgin City Elgin City 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton ran out comfortable winners over Elgin City 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hamilton and 0.25 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Elgin City?

Hamilton 5-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - League Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 76%, draw 16%, Elgin City 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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