Mattersburg 2020 1-2 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.34
Away Pick
58%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.63
Over
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
19%
5.79
2-3
44%
2.03
4-5
25%
2.49
6+
12%
5.41
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.79 — our 19% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.55
1/2
7%
18.4
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
6%
12.15
X/2
22%
4.29
X/X
12%
7.29
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.79
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
First Vienna win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mattersburg 2020 The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna The Market 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mattersburg 2020
1-2
AWAY First Vienna
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mattersburg 2020 vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna squeezed past Mattersburg 2020 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had First Vienna as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Mattersburg 2020 vs First Vienna?

Mattersburg 2020 1-2 First Vienna in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mattersburg 2020 vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated an First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mattersburg 2020 18%, draw 24%, First Vienna 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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