Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Adelaide United II v Sturt Lions — Team-Based Signals
Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Sturt Lions
AVNPL
1-4
HT 1-2
Adelaide United II
AVNPL
1-1
HT 1-0
Adelaide United II
AVNPL
1-3
HT 0-2
Sturt Lions
AVNPL
2-1
HT 0-1
Adelaide United II
AVNPL
Sturt Lions edged past Adelaide United II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 20% / 42% — and on the day Sturt Lions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturt Lions led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.17 for Sturt Lions.
What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
Adelaide United II 2-3 Sturt Lions in the Australia - NPL South on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Sturt Lions?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturt Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 38%, draw 20%, Sturt Lions 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturt Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.