Smorgon 2-0 Gomel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.7pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel II EU Bookmakers 30%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.83
-74% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
559 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
2-0
AWAY Gomel II
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Gomel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon beat Gomel II 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Smorgon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Gomel II?

Smorgon 2-0 Gomel II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Gomel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 49%, draw 23%, Gomel II 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smorgon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Smorgon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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