FC Volna Pinsk 3-1 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.8pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.13/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.27
+8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Orsha
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Orsha Orsha 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
10.08.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
13.04.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
04.11.2023 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
02.07.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 HT 1-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
23.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
3-1
AWAY Orsha
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk saw off Orsha 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Volna Pinsk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.17 for Orsha.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Orsha?

FC Volna Pinsk 3-1 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 52%, draw 21%, Orsha 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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