Orsha 3-2 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
52%
Away Win
57%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.0pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.12/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.56
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +99%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
13.04.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
04.11.2023 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
02.07.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 HT 1-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
23.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
08.08.2021 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha nicked a narrow win over FC Volna Pinsk 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orsha and 1.83 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Orsha vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Orsha 3-2 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orsha 22%, draw 27%, FC Volna Pinsk 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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