Ulytau 1-2 Irtysh Pavlodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulytau EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.07/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.72
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulytau
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.05.2026 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulytau KAZP
POST-MATCH Ulytau vs Irtysh Pavlodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irtysh Pavlodar nicked a narrow win over Ulytau 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Irtysh Pavlodar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Ulytau vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Ulytau 1-2 Irtysh Pavlodar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulytau vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Irtysh Pavlodar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ulytau 36%, draw 26%, Irtysh Pavlodar 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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