Atlante 1-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Jul 2026

Atlante
1-1 HT 0-1
Club America
📅25/07/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2026/2027

Atlante vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
62%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-0.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
62%
Away Win
60%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlante v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 64%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.37/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.89
+13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
– Crosses 18.9
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Atlante vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 170
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
The Meetings
02.02.2014 Club America Club America 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK
11.08.2013 Atlante Atlante 2-4 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
20.01.2013 Club America Club America 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlante Atlante MEK
06.08.2012 Atlante Atlante 2-2 HT 2-0 Club America Club America MEK
26.02.2012 Atlante Atlante 0-4 HT 0-2 Club America Club America MEK
12.09.2011 Club America Club America 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK

Atlante 1-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlante
1-1
AWAY Club America
0.74 xG 1.56
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
201 Passes 418
13 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante and Club America shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Club America at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.74 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atlante and 2.50 for Club America.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Club America?

Atlante 1-1 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atlante 17%, draw 21%, Club America 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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