Volga Ulyanovsk 2-0 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 25 Jul 2026

📅25/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 31%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.07/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
-19% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 1-4 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
20.11.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-2 HT 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
30.07.2022 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
12.07.2018 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik HAZ
24.07.2015 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 0-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUK
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volga Ulyanovsk saw off Neftekhimik 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Volga Ulyanovsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.80 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik?

Volga Ulyanovsk 2-0 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 25/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 40%, draw 28%, Neftekhimik 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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