Volga Ulyanovsk 1-4 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 29%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.70/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.92
-45% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.11.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-2 HT 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
30.07.2022 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
12.07.2018 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik HAZ
24.07.2015 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 0-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUK
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik cruised past Volga Ulyanovsk 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Volga Ulyanovsk at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.25 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik?

Volga Ulyanovsk 1-4 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 46%, draw 24%, Neftekhimik 30%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✗ Under 2.5
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