Chayka 2-4 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Sep 2025

Chayka
2-4 HT 1-2
Spartak Kostroma
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Chayka vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
55%
Away Win
56%
-0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.9pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chayka v Spartak Kostroma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+23% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Spartak Kostroma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma got the better of Chayka 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Kostroma as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Spartak Kostroma?

Chayka 2-4 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chayka 17%, draw 28%, Spartak Kostroma 55%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Kostroma), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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