Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Sep 2025

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-1 HT 1-1
Fakel
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk v Fakel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.07/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.80
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fakel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.42 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 172
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.06.2023 Fakel Fakel 2-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS
07.06.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
26.03.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
15.09.2021 Fakel Fakel 3-1 HT 2-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
06.03.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-3 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1
09.09.2020 Fakel Fakel 1-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and Fakel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fakel at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fakel led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.83 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Fakel?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 28%, draw 27%, Fakel 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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