Chelyabinsk 4-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Sep 2025

Chelyabinsk
4-0 HT 1-0
FK Rodina Moskva
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Chelyabinsk vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelyabinsk v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 43%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.91
-6% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Chelyabinsk 4-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelyabinsk
4-0
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chelyabinsk vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelyabinsk cruised past FK Rodina Moskva 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelyabinsk had 47% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Chelyabinsk vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Chelyabinsk 4-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelyabinsk vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 30%, draw 29%, FK Rodina Moskva 41%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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