Sokol Saratov 1-0 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.1pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
-16% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
0.62/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.90
-40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
24.11.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-2 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
12.10.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 5-0 HT 3-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
14.04.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-2 HT 0-2 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov squeezed past Torpedo Moscow 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Moscow at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 39% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 61%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sokol Saratov and 3.00 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Moscow?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 24%, draw 30%, Torpedo Moscow 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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