Torpedo Moscow 5-0 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.64
-25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-2 HT 0-2 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
5-0
AWAY Sokol Saratov
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow swept aside Sokol Saratov 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 63% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 37%, shots finished 18-2.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov?

Torpedo Moscow 5-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 51%, draw 26%, Sokol Saratov 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
12 Oct 2024
12:00 FK Ufa vs Chernomorets Analysis →
16:00 Ural vs Tyumen Analysis →
18:00 Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Analysis →
20:00 FK Rodina Moskva vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →