Ural 1-0 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Oct 2024

Ural
1-0 HT 1-0
Tyumen
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.60/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.68
-4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
469 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
1-0
AWAY Tyumen
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ural vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural squeezed past Tyumen 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 60% of the ball to Tyumen's 40%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Ural vs Tyumen?

Ural 1-0 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ural 57%, draw 24%, Tyumen 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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