FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.62/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
+12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-1 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
10.09.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
29.04.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
09.10.2022 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-1
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva and Yenisey Krasnoyarsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Rodina Moskva at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 62% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 38%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.25 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 45%, draw 27%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
12 Oct 2024
12:00 FK Ufa vs Chernomorets Analysis →
16:00 Ural vs Tyumen Analysis →
17:00 Torpedo Moscow vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
18:00 Neftekhimik vs Shinnik Analysis →